Updated NDC as annouced in Sepetember 2025

In the unconditional scenarios, Bangladesh will achieve a reduction of 26.74 MtCO₂eq, representing a 6.39% decrease from the business-as-usual (BAU) projections for 2035; whereas in the Conditional Scenarios, Bangladesh will achieve a decrease of 58.23 MtCO₂eq (13.92%) by 2035 compared to the Business As Usual (BAU) baseline.

Mitigation

1 - Renewable Energy

Conditional: Renewable energy will share 25% of the total electricity demand by 2035. 60% of this target will be conditional.

Unconditional: Renewable energy will share 25% of the total electricity demand by 2035. 40% of this target will be unconditional.

2 - T&D Loss Reduction

Conditional: Reduced transmission loss to 2.95% and distribution loss to 6%

Unconditional: Reduced transmission loss to 2.98% and distribution loss to 6.5%

3 - Clean Peaking Capacity Transition

Conditional: Replace 95% of liquid fuel–based peaking capacity power plants with cleaner alternatives, including battery energy storage systems. 70% of this target will be conditional.

Unconditional: Replace 95% of liquid fuel–based peaking capacity power plants with cleaner alternatives, including battery energy storage systems. 30% of this target will be unconditional.

4 - Transport

Conditional: 25% of buses in the Dhaka city area will be Evs

Unconditional: 30% of passenger cars will be EVs

5 - Solar Rail Infrastructure

Conditional: Implement solar equipped railway stations and install solar energy plants on at least 30% of railway-owned vacant land. 80% of this target will be conditional.

Unconditional: Implement solar equipped railway stations and install solar energy plants on at least 30% of railway-owned vacant land. 20% of this target will be unconditional.

6 - Railway Electrification

Conditional: Electrification of 348 km railway route, 80% of this target will be conditional.

Unconditional: Electrification of 348 km railway route, 20% of this target will be unconditional.

7 - Alternative Building Materials

Conditional: 40% of the total demand for bricks will be met by non-fired bricks/concrete blocks replacing burnt clay bricks. 75% of this target will be conditional.

Unconditional: 40% of the total demand for bricks will be met by non-fired bricks/concrete blocks replacing burnt clay bricks. 25% of this target will be unconditional.

8 - Industry

Conditional: Achieve 10% Energy efficiency in the industry. 60% of this target will be conditional.

Unconditional: Achieve 10% Energy efficiency in the industry. 40% of this target will be unconditional.

9 - Solar System

Conditional: Promote rooftop solar systems in industrial buildings, 70% will be conditional.

Unconditional: Promote rooftop solar systems in industrial buildings, 30% will be unconditional.

10 - Energy-Efficient Appliances Adoption

Conditional: Use energyefficient appliances in household, institutional, and commercial buildings to achieve 10% energy savings (energy-efficient lighting, fan, television, oven, washing machine, refrigeration, cooling systems, geyser, water purification). 50% of this target will be conditional.

Unconditional: Use energyefficient appliances in household, institutional, and commercial buildings to achieve 10% energy savings (energy-efficient lighting, fan, television, oven, washing machine, refrigeration, cooling systems, geyser, water purification). 50% of this target will be unconditional.

11 - Rooftop Solar Systems

Conditional: Install rooftop solar systems in 50% of existing government buildings, institutions, schools, and hospitals, and 100% of new government buildings, institutions, schools, and hospitals. 70% of this target will be conditional.

Unconditional: Install rooftop solar systems in 50% of existing government buildings, institutions, schools, and hospitals, and 100% of new government buildings, institutions, schools, and hospitals. 30% of this target will be unconditional.

12 - Cooking System

Conditional: Promote modern cooking systems
• 20% of Cooking Energy Mix will be energy efficient modern electric cookstoves
• 20% of Cooking Energy Mix will be energy efficient improved cookstoves (ICS)
• 50% of Cooking Energy Mix will be energy efficient LPG

13 - Solar Irrigation Pump

Conditional: Implementation of 45,000 Nos. Solar irrigation pumps (generating 1000 MWp). 90% of this target will be conditional.

Unconditional: Implementation of 45,000 Nos. Solar irrigation pumps (generating 1000 MWp). 10% of this target will be unconditional.

1 - Agriculture

Conditional:

1.1 Methane emission reduction from Rice field:
• Upscaling Alternate Wetting and Drying (AWD) in dry season rice field in 50,000 ha of crop lands
• Rice Varietal Improvement for 1,111,000 ha crop lands

1.2 Nitrous Oxide emission reduction from nitrogen-based Fertilizer:
• 209,000 ha crop land Management (leaf color chart, soil test based fertilizer application, less tillage barn management etc.)
• Improvement of fertilizer management (deep placement of urea in rice field, training, awareness) in 50,000 ha
• Bringing more area under pulse cultivation

1.3 Methane emission from Enteric Fermentation:
• Replacement of low-productive animals with high-producing crossbred cattle (Large Ruminant – 0.94 million and Small Ruminant – 0.89 million)
• Feed improvement by using a balanced diet and beneficial micro-organisms for livestock (Large Ruminant – 0.51 million and Small Ruminant – 0.68 million

1.4 Methane and Nitrous Oxide emission from Manure management:
• Improved manure management through promotion of mini biogas plants (57,000 nos.)
• Awareness and training programme


Unconditional:

1.1 Methane emission reduction from Rice field:
• Upscaling Alternate Wetting and Drying (AWD) in dry season rice field in 100,000 ha of crop lands
• Rice Varietal Improvement for 2,129,000 ha crop lands

1.2 Nitrous Oxide emission reduction from nitrogen-based Fertilizer:
• 627,000 ha crop land Management (leaf color chart, soil test based fertilizer application, less tillage barn management etc.)
• Improvement of fertilizer management (deep placement of urea in rice field, training, awareness) in 150,000 ha
• Bringing more area under pulse cultivation

1.3 Methane emission from Enteric Fermentation:
• Replacement of low-productive animals with high-producing crossbred cattle (Large Ruminant – 1.882 million and Small Ruminant – 1.776 million)
• Feed improvement by using a balanced diet and beneficial micro-organisms for livestock (Large Ruminant 1.013 million and Small Ruminant – 1.355 million)

1.4 Methane and Nitrous Oxide emission from Manure management
• Improved manure management through promotion of mini biogas plants (107,000 nos.)
• Expansion of awareness and training programme

2 - Forestry

Conditional:

2.1 Increase forest cover. 2.2 Increase tree cover from 22.37% (2014) to 24%.
2.3 Afforestation and reforestation in the coastal areas, islands and degraded areas – 150,000 ha.
2.4 Restore the deforested forests – 137,800 ha at the hill and plain land sal forest.
2.5 Restore the degraded forests – 200,000 ha at the hill and plain land sal forest.
2.6 Plantation in roadsides, embankments, private lands etc.


Unconditional:

2.1 Maintain the forest cover and tree cover through collaborative forest management, social forestry and other programs. 2.2 Forest conservation by Scale-up of alternative income-generating activity for forest-dependent communities-55,000 nos. families
2.3 Co-management in Protected areas -72,000 ha
2.4 Additional coastal afforestation activities.
2.5 Maintain the restoration of degraded or deforested areas.
2.6 Plantation in roadsides, embankments, private lands etc.

1 - Waste

Conditional
1.1 Establishment of Waste to Energy plant in Dhaka
1.2 Establishment of Incineration plant in one City
1.3 Regional Integrated Landfill and Resource Recovery Facility in One City

Unconditional
1.1 Establishment of Incineration plant in 3 citiies
1.2 Implementation of wastewater treatment plants in several cities
1.3 Expansion of Regional Integrated Landfill and Resource Recovery Facility in other cities

Adaptation

1 - Lives And Livelihoods

1.1 Impact of climate change on the lives and livelihoods of the communities

2 - Poverty Reduction

2.1 Poverty reduction and sustainable income generation of communities

3 - Gender Equality

3.1 Gender equality (as a cross-cutting criteria)

4 - Adaptive Capacity

4.1 Enhancement of adaptive capacity in terms of skills and capabilities at community & national levels.

5 - Environmental Sustainability

5.1 Enhancement of environmental sustainability

6 - National And Sectoral Plans

6.1 Complementary and synergy with national and sectoral plans and programs & other MEAs